Syria at a Crossroads: U.S. Policy Challenges Post-Assad

Defense Posture and Global ThreatsHouse Foreign Affairs · 2026-02-10 · 119th Congress
The House Foreign Affairs Committee convened this hearing to examine the challenges facing Syria under interim President Ahmed al-Shara roughly 14 months after the fall of the Assad regime, including sectarian violence against minorities, security-force integration, the fate of the Caesar Act sanctions repeal, and the continued US troop and diplomatic presence. Begins at 0:08:54
Transcript
Highlights

Title

Syria's post-Assad transition, minority protection, and US policy leverage

Purpose

The House Foreign Affairs Committee convened this hearing to examine the challenges facing Syria under interim President Ahmed al-Shara roughly 14 months after the fall of the Assad regime, including sectarian violence against minorities, security-force integration, the fate of the Caesar Act sanctions repeal, and the continued US troop and diplomatic presence. Chairman Brian Mast and Ranking Member Gregory Meeks opened with concerns about attacks on Druze, Kurdish, and Alawite communities, the January 30th SDF integration agreement, and whether the Syrian government can be trusted to meet conditions attached to sanctions relief. Four witnesses — Ambassador James Jeffrey, Andrew Tabler, Nadine Maenza, and Dr. Mara Karlin — testified on security, minority rights, and reconstruction. Begins at0:08:54

Who spoke

Chairman Brian Mast (R-FL)0:08:54: Opened the hearing, described meeting President Alshara last November and pressing him on his past as an al-Qaeda fighter0:11:38, said Alshara "does not have a blank check" and conditions remain on military integration, minority protection, and counterterrorism cooperation0:12:46; later defended USAID's elimination, citing a diverted $10 million meals program meant for Catholic Relief Services1:15:00.

Ranking Member Gregory Meeks (D-NY)0:14:28: Cited last April's Sweida violence and June's Mar Elias church bombing that killed over 30 worshippers0:17:00; welcomed the January 30th Damascus-SDF agreement but said USAID's dismantlement has crippled stabilization efforts0:18:39; pressed Dr. Karlin on humanitarian conditions and USAID alternatives0:47:48.

Amb. James Jeffrey, Washington Institute0:20:56: Laid out seven priorities including finalizing an Israel-Syria security agreement and keeping US troops on0:23:39; said Russia retains $20 billion in investments and 35,000 Russia-educated Syrians including Alshara's brother2:02:44; assessed Alawite deaths at roughly 2,000-4,000 against 600,000 killed in 14 years of war2:46:16.

Andrew Tabler, Washington Institute0:25:43: Described a "good cop, selectively bad cop" US approach0:26:33; said a coastal-clashes fact-finding committee identified nearly 600 implicated individuals but only 14 have faced public trials0:30:16; estimated killings "in the thousands"2:46:04.

Nadine Maenza, former USCIRF chair0:31:01: Cited Ambassador Sam Brownback's warning that genocide could occur within four years absent the right policy0:31:28; reported over 1,500 Alawites killed in March 2025 and roughly 1,600+ reported killed in Sweida in July with 120,000 displaced0:34:37; estimated 10,000 minority deaths under Alshara2:45:39; said Christians dropped from 10% to about 2% of Syria's population3:20:50.

Dr. Mara Karlin, Johns Hopkins/Brookings0:36:18: Said 90% of Syrians live in poverty and rebuilding will cost over $200 billion0:37:05; recommended reopening the US embassy in Damascus as the top priority0:39:03; noted about 2,000 ISIS prisoners have been moved to Iraq1:00:21.

Rep. Joe Wilson (R-SC)0:41:14: Recounted meeting President Alshara in Damascus and praised the SDF integration deal facilitated by KRG Prime Minister Masur Barzani0:42:49; asked Jeffrey about countering PKK disruption0:43:46.

Rep. Meeks (second round)0:46:35 — see above.

Rep. Scott Perry (R-PA)0:57:40: Questioned Ambassador Jeffrey on Turkey's historical influence and the Kurdish/Druze minority problem0:58:59.

Rep. Jim Costa (D-CA)0:58:03: Asked Jeffrey and Karlin about US priorities for 2026 and coordination with European and Arab states0:58:08; asked about Hezbollah's remaining capacity1:01:39.

Rep. Scott Perry (playing video)1:03:34: Played a graphic video of executions of women and pressed Maenza on whether Alshara is "unable" or "unwilling" to protect minorities1:04:18.

Rep. (unclear name, "Vladimer")1:09:10: Passed on questions.

Rep. Brad Schneider (D-IL)1:09:26: Praised Chairman Mast for insisting on benchmarks in the Caesar Act repeal1:09:52; asked Jeffrey to compare Syria's ethnic complexity to Iraq's1:11:38.

Rep. Tim Burchett (R-TN)1:15:36: Asked Jeffrey about Alshara's al-Qaeda ties and centralization of power1:15:58; asked Maenza about Russian involvement2:20:48.

Rep. Brad Sherman (D-CA)1:21:00: Criticized USAID's elimination, citing an estimated three million deaths from halted malaria/HIV/TB programs1:21:16; referenced showing Secretary Rubio a photo of a child, Evan Anzu, who died from USAID cuts1:22:18; asked Maenza to assess Syria's compliance with Caesar Act repeal conditions1:23:11.

Rep. Cory Mills (R-FL)1:27:27: Described his own trip to Syria and cited 350 million captagon pills and 28 production facilities eliminated under Alshara1:31:48.

Rep. Bill Keating (D-MA)1:33:03: Cited former Secretary Mike Pompeo's op-ed warning against abandoning the SDF and losing US credibility1:33:15.

Rep. Michael McCaul (R-TX)1:38:44: Recounted meeting a Druze sheikh in Israel who showed videos of decapitations1:39:35; asked Maenza for a status update on January 30th agreement implementation1:40:59.

Rep. Dina Titus (D-NV)1:44:06: Pressed Karlin on Turkey's harmful role toward the Kurds and whether the SDF integration deal will last1:45:14.

Rep. Andy Barr (R-KY)1:49:34: Asked Tabler about the Trump administration's Iran "maximum pressure" strategy and Jeffrey about Israel-Syria security talks, including the January 9th Paris coordination committee agreement1:53:39.

Rep. Sydney Kamlager-Dove ("Oeski")1:55:14: Raised concerns about Syrian textbook revisions removing references to women and evolution, and 2.4 million children out of school1:56:20; asked about post-conflict education models like Rwanda1:57:15.

Rep. Young Kim (R-CA)2:01:16: Asked Jeffrey about Russia's repositioning after Alshara-Putin's January 29 meeting, the Israel-Syria negotiations, and a February 7 Saudi-Syria investment deal2:06:04.

Rep. Gabe Amo (D-RI)2:07:20: Asked Karlin how the US can support the SDF ceasefire and whether Caesar sanctions should remain a deterrent2:09:04.

Rep. Warren Davidson (R-OH)2:12:23: Asked Maenza about religious-freedom conditions and Turkish-controlled areas, citing USCIRF reports on Yazidi persecution2:13:12; questioned the legal authorization for continued US troop presence2:15:07.

Rep. Greg Stanton (D-AZ)2:17:53: Asked Karlin about metrics for SDF integration success and Syria's/Iraq's capacity to secure ISIS detainees2:19:56.

Rep. Keith Self (R-TX)2:23:04: Framed the hearing as competing worldviews on what "success" means for Syria, and asked Maenza about SDF unit-vs-individual integration and Turkey's regional ambitions2:26:37.

Rep. Sara Jacobs ("Jipal") (D-CA)2:28:50: Co-led the Caesar Act repeal bill with Rep. Wilson; asked Karlin about the humanitarian situation and Tabler about refugee return from Jordan and Lebanon2:33:20.

Rep. Mike Lawler (R-NY)2:35:32: Asked Tabler about the effectiveness of conditional sanctions-snapback leverage and the state sponsor of terrorism designation2:37:21; asked Jeffrey whether he trusts Alshara2:38:42.

Rep. Wesley Hunt ("Fine") (R-TX)2:42:13: Pressed Maenza, Karlin, Tabler, and Jeffrey each for a numeric estimate of how many people have been killed under Alshara's government, drawing estimates ranging from ~2,000-4,000 to 10,0002:45:22.

Rep. (unclear, "Shrieve")2:47:06: Asked Jeffrey and Tabler about the status of ISIS detainee transfers to Iraq and the continued value of US troop presence2:48:06.

Rep. (unclear, "Bkin")2:52:55: Asked Maenza about Erdogan's stated ambitions to revive the Ottoman Empire and Russian basing discussions in southern Syria2:53:37; questioned whether a dedicated Syria envoy is needed separate from Ambassador Tom Barrack2:57:22.

Rep. Sarah McBride (D-DE)2:58:24: Traced Russia's Syria ties back to a 1971 Tartus naval facility and asked Karlin how to reduce Russian influence3:00:40; linked USAID's dismantlement to ceding ground to Russia and Iran3:02:24.

Rep. Nancy Mace ("Bigs") (R-SC)3:08:23: Asked Maenza about USCIRF findings on religious-freedom conditions for Christians and Druze under Alshara's prior rule in Idlib, citing HTS's "entity of particular concern" designation3:09:11.

Rep. Victor Stzman (R-IN)3:13:09: Described his own trip to Syria and asked all four witnesses about the importance of reopening a US embassy in Damascus3:16:21.

Rep. (unclear, "McKenzie") (R-PA)3:20:01: Asked Maenza about security conditions for Christian Syrians, citing his district's large Syrian-Christian community3:20:01; raised the push for "equal citizenship" over minority-specific protections3:23:45.

Key moments

Chairman Mast recounted asking President Alshara directly why they were no longer enemies — Alshara said he wished "to liberate himself from his past" for "a noble pursuit for his people"0:11:38.

Tabler testified a fact-finding committee on the coastal clashes found commanders did not order revenge attacks but identified nearly 600 implicated individuals; only 14 have faced public trials and the full report remains unreleased0:30:16.

Maenza described Islamist security forces recording and circulating footage of beheadings, executions, and rape of Kurdish women during the Aleppo/northeast offensive despite President Trump's January 10 call to halt it0:32:55.

Rep. Perry played a graphic 40-second video of women being executed and pressed Maenza on whether Alshara is "unable" or "unwilling" to stop such violence; Maenza said the northeast operation "was unnecessary" and "didn't have to happen"1:04:181:06:28.

Karlin said only about 2,000 of roughly 7,000 ISIS-linked detainees have been moved from Syria to Iraq, with more transfers planned, and that mission clarity for the remaining US military presence is unclear1:00:21.

Rep. Hunt asked all four witnesses to estimate deaths under Alshara's government: Maenza said 10,000, Karlin "slightly lower," Tabler "in the thousands," and Jeffrey 2,000-4,000 against 600,000 killed in the prior 14-year war2:45:22.

Maenza testified USCIRF and State designated HTS an "entity of particular concern" for religious-freedom violations during its decade governing Idlib, undercutting claims that period was a governance success story3:09:28.

Jeffrey disclosed that Russia holds $20 billion in Syrian investments and has educated 35,000 Syrians, including Alshara's brother, complicating US efforts to dislodge Russian bases at Hmeimim and Tartus2:02:440:46:18.

Chairman Mast said USAID diverted about $10 million in meals intended for Catholic Relief Services to al-Qaeda fighters, with the responsible individual, Mr. Al Hafaya, still at large1:15:00; Rep. Sherman countered that USAID's elimination may be responsible for roughly three million deaths from halted malaria, HIV, and TB programs1:21:16.

Tabler and Karlin both identified reopening the US embassy in Damascus as the single highest-priority step for improving US visibility and leverage in Syria0:39:033:16:33.

Metadata

CommitteeHouse Foreign Affairs
Chamber / CongressHouse · 119th Congress
Date2026-02-10
TypeHearing
Witnesses
Dr. Mara Karlin — Professor of Practice, Johns Hopkins University-School of Advanced International Studies Visiting Fellow, The Brookings Institution
The Honorable James Jeffrey — Philip Solanz Fellow, Washington Institute for Near East Policy
Mr. Andrew Tabler — Martin J. Gross Senior Fellow, Washington Institute for Near East Policy
Ms. Nadine Maenza — Former Chair, U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom
Videoyoutube
Transcript590 caption blocks · 34,094 words · 3:31:45 runtime
EventCongress.gov 118891